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July
8, 2003
Linda
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Saul Landau
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Ramzy
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Jones
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Honey
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John Blair
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David Vest
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Thomas
W. Croft
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Chuckman
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Goff
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Perry
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Christian
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Richard
Falk
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Podur
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Bush's Wars Web Log 7/1
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30, 2003
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Floyd
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Bush's Wars Web Log 6/30
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July
9, 2003
Lies of the Nuclear
Age
Ten
Myths About Nuclear Weapons
By DAVID KRIEGER
and ANGELA McCRACKEN
1. Nuclear weapons
were needed to defeat Japan in World War II.
It is widely believed, particularly in
the United States, that the use of nuclear weapons against the
Japanese cities of Hiroshima and Nagasaki was necessary to defeat
Japan in World War II. This is not, however, the opinion of the
leading US military figures in the war, including General Dwight
Eisenhower, General Omar Bradley, General Hap Arnold and Admiral
William Leahy. General Eisenhower, for example, who was the Supreme
Allied Commander Europe during World War II and later US president,
wrote, "I had been conscious of a feeling of depression
and so I voiced [to Secretary of War Stimson] my grave misgivings,
first on the basis of my belief that Japan was already defeated
and that dropping the bomb was completely unnecessary, and secondly
because I thought that our country should avoid shocking world
opinion by the use of a weapon whose employment was, I thought,
no longer mandatory as a measure to save American lives. It was
my belief that Japan was, at that very moment, seeking some way
to surrender with a minimum loss of 'face'...." Not only
was the use of nuclear force unnecessary, its destructive force
was excessive, resulting in 220,000 deaths by the end of 1945.
2. Nuclear weapons
prevented a war between the United States and the Soviet Union.
Many people believe that the nuclear
standoff during the Cold War prevented the two superpowers from
going to war with each other, for fear of mutually assured destruction.
While it is true that the superpowers did not engage in nuclear
warfare during the Cold War, there were many confrontations between
them that came uncomfortably close to nuclear war, the most prominent
being the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis. There were also many deadly
conflicts and "proxy" wars carried out by the superpowers
in Asia, Africa and Latin America. The Vietnam War, which took
several million Vietnamese lives and the lives of more than 58,000
Americans, is a prominent example. These wars made the supposed
nuclear peace very bloody and deadly. Lurking in the background
was the constant danger of a nuclear exchange. The Cold War was
an exceedingly dangerous time with a massive nuclear arms race,
and the human race was extremely fortunate to have survived it
without suffering a nuclear war.
3. Nuclear threats
have gone away since the end of the Cold War.
In light of the Cold War's end, many
people believed that nuclear threats had gone away. While the
nature of nuclear threats has changed since the end of the Cold
War, these threats are far from having disappeared or even significantly
diminished. During the Cold War, the greatest threat was that
of a massive nuclear exchange between the United States and Soviet
Union. In the aftermath of the Cold War, a variety of new nuclear
threats have emerged. Among these are the following dangers:
n Increased possibilities of nuclear
weapons falling into the hands of terrorists who would not hesitate
to use them; n Nuclear war between India and Pakistan; n Policies
of the US government to make nuclear weapons smaller and more
usable; n Use of nuclear weapons by accident, particularly by
Russia, which has a substantially weakened early warning system;
and n Spread of nuclear weapons to other states, such as North
Korea, that may perceive them to be an "equalizer"
against a more powerful state.
4. The United States
needs nuclear weapons for its national security.
There is a widespread belief in the United
States that nuclear weapons are necessary for the US to defend
against aggressor states. US national security, however, would
be far improved if the US took a leadership role in seeking to
eliminate nuclear weapons throughout the world. Nuclear weapons
are the only weapons that could actually destroy the United States,
and their existence and proliferation threaten US security. Continued
high-alert deployment of nuclear weapons and research on smaller
and more usable nuclear weapons by the US, combined with a more
aggressive foreign policy, makes many weaker nations feel threatened.
Weaker states may think of nuclear weapons as an equalizer, giving
them the ability to effectively neutralize the forces of a threatening
nuclear weapons state. Thus, as in the case of North Korea, the
US threat may be instigating nuclear weapons proliferation. Continued
reliance on nuclear weapons by the United States is setting the
wrong example for the world, and is further endangering the country
rather than protecting it. The United States has strong conventional
military forces and would be far more secure in a world in which
no country had nuclear arms.
5. Nuclear weapons
make a country safer.
It is a common belief that nuclear weapons
protect a country by deterring potential aggressors from attacking.
By threatening massive retaliation, the argument goes, nuclear
weapons prevent an attacker from starting a war. To the contrary,
nuclear weapons are actually undermining the safety of the countries
that possess them by providing a false sense of security. While
deterrence can provide some psychological sense of security,
there are no guarantees that the threat of retaliation will succeed
in preventing an attack. There are many ways in which deterrence
could fail, including misunderstandings, faulty communications,
irrational leaders, miscalculations and accidents. In addition,
the possession of nuclear weapons enhances the risks of terrorism,
proliferation and ultimately nuclear annihilation.
6. No leader would
be crazy enough to actually use nuclear weapons.
Many people believe that the threat of
using nuclear weapons can go on indefinitely as a means of deterring
attacks because no leader would be crazy enough to actually use
them. Unfortunately, nuclear weapons have been used, and it is
likely that most, if not all, leaders possessing these weapons
would, under certain conditions, actually use them. US leaders,
considered by many to be highly rational, are the only ones who
have ever actually used nuclear weapons in war, against Hiroshima
and Nagasaki. Outside of these two bombings, the leaders of nuclear
weapons states have repeatedly come close to using nuclear weapons.
Nuclear deterrence is based upon a believable threat of nuclear
retaliation, and the threat of nuclear weapons use has been constant
during the post World War II period. US policy currently calls
for the use of nuclear weapons in response to an attack with
chemical or biological weapons against the US, its troops or
allies. One of the premises of the US argument for preventive
war is that other leaders would be willing to attack the United
States with nuclear weapons. Threats of nuclear attack by India
and Pakistan provide still another example of nuclear brinksmanship
that could turn into a nuclear war. Globally and historically,
leaders have done their best to prove that they would use nuclear
weapons. Assuming that they would not do so is unwise.
7. Nuclear weapons
are a cost-effective method of national defense.
Some have argued that nuclear weapons,
with their high yield of explosive power, offer the benefit of
an effective defense for minimum investment. This is one reason
behind ongoing research into lower-yield tactical nuclear weapons,
which would be perceived as more usable. The cost of nuclear
weapons research, development, testing, deployment and maintenance,
however, exceeded $5.5 trillion by 1996, according to a study
by the Brookings Institution. With advances in nuclear technology
and power, the costs and consequences of a nuclear war would
be immeasurable.
8. Nuclear weapons
are well protected and there is little chance that terrorists
could get their hands on one.
Many people believe that nuclear weapons
are well protected and that the likelihood of terrorists obtaining
these weapons is low. In the aftermath of the Cold War, however,
the ability of the Russians to protect their nuclear forces has
declined precipitously. In addition, a coup in a country with
nuclear weapons, such as Pakistan, could lead to a government
coming to power that was willing to provide nuclear weapons to
terrorists. In general, the more nuclear weapons there are in
the world and the more nuclear weapons proliferate to additional
countries, the greater the possibility that nuclear weapons will
end up in the hands of terrorists. The best remedy for keeping
nuclear weapons out of the hands of terrorists is to drastically
reduce their numbers and institute strict international inspections
and controls on all nuclear weapons and weapons-grade nuclear
materials in all countries, until these weapons and the materials
for making them can be eliminated.
9. The United States
is working to fulfill its nuclear disarmament obligations.
Most US citizens believe that the United
States is working to fulfill its nuclear disarmament obligations.
In fact, the United States has failed to fulfill its obligations
under Article VI of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, requiring
good faith efforts to achieve nuclear disarmament, for more than
30 years. The United States has failed to ratify the Comprehensive
Test Ban Treaty and has withdrawn from the Anti-Ballistic Missile
Treaty. The 2003 Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty (SORT)
with Russia takes strategic nuclear weapons off active deployment,
but has no provisions for verification or systematic reductions
and it fails to adhere to the principle of irreversibility agreed
to at the 2000 Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference. The
treaty seeks maximum flexibility for rearmament rather than irreversible
reductions in nuclear arms. Nuclear weapons taken off active
deployment will be put in storage where they will actually become
more vulnerable in both the US and Russia to theft by terrorists.
In the year 2012, the treaty will end, unless extended.
10. Nuclear weapons
are needed to combat threats from terrorists and "rogue
states."
It has been argued that nuclear weapons
are needed to protect against terrorists and "rogue states."
Yet nuclear weapons, whether used for deterrence or as offensive
weaponry, are not effective for this purpose. The threat of nuclear
force cannot act as a deterrent against terrorists because they
do not have a territory to retaliate against. Thus, terrorists
would not be prevented from attacking a country for fear of nuclear
retaliation. Nuclear weapons also cannot be relied on as a deterrent
against "rogue states" because their responses to a
nuclear threat may be irrational and deterrence relies on rationality.
If the leaders of a rogue state do not use the same calculus
regarding their losses from retaliation, deterrence can easily
fail. As offensive weaponry, nuclear force only promises tremendous
destruction to troops, civilians and the environment. It might
work to annihilate a rogue state, but the amount of force entailed
in using nuclear weaponry is indiscriminate, disproportionate
and highly immoral. It would not be useful against terrorists
because strategists could not be certain of locating an appropriate
target for retaliation.
David Krieger
is president of the Nuclear Age Peace Foundation. He is the editor
of Hope in a Dark Time (Capra Press, 2003), and author of Choose
Hope, Your Role in Waging Peace in the Nuclear Age (Middleway
Press, 2002). Angela McCracken is the 2003 Ruth Floyd Intern
in Human Rights and International Law at the Nuclear
Age Peace Foundation.
They can be contacted at: dkrieger@napf.org.
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Website
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